Sunday, September 22, 2024

It looks like 2020 or 2007 or 2000 all over again

 the key to making money in stock markets is by investing that's by having the long term view... investing with the time horizon of more than 3 years and an investor has to be fearful when  others are greedy and be greedy only when others are fearful.  Now there is greed all around as can be seen by over subscription of IPOs by 100 ot times, psu stocks are trading at triple digit p/e s. In fact as is the norm in Bull market in p/e ...e is euphoria ..mid caps become mad caps...there is consistent inflow of a liquidity from domestic investors. the same was there also in 2020 and it didn't prevent stock market crash of 50% though covid was the reason at that time. same will definitely happen again in near future and the reason maybe something new but it will happen. so be very very cautious 

Monday, July 29, 2024

 be very very cautious


be fearful when others are greedy and vice versa...every body is bullish on indian equity markets...the indian stock market to gdp ratio is aroiund 1.5...stocks are trading at p/e of 50 or 80 plus..it is time to start booking your profits





Monday, July 4, 2022

 lot of moise


ukarine war, commodity price upward spiral etc etc...key to making money in this noise is to identify compamies which will double their profits in next few years, invest in them and forget the rest.

Tuesday, April 26, 2022

what if the ukaraine war ends?



if so then the world equity markets may hit the roof. otherwise commodity prices will do. so invest accordingly.

Thursday, November 4, 2021

be very cautious the euphoria in indian equity markets and globally too is remnicient of the sub prime bubble of 2008 and the subsequent crash... the rush of ipos reminds one of very much hyped ipo of reliance power ipo and similar hyped ipos like nyka etc...now. so be aware and book someof your profits

Wednesday, August 4, 2021

pendulam swing of equity markets from desperate fear of mar 2020 to greed of 2021 the equity markets true to nature have swung like a pendulam. with positive gdp growth cycle, credit cycle , corporate profit cycle and hence resulting positive investor psychology cycle we are in for a bull market

Wednesday, September 12, 2018

Be v v cautious


The ruling govt has done exactly what I had predicted... Over promise.. Under deliver..With the result that the economy is not growing fast enough.. Except indici stocks..Others share prices have fallen or remained unchanged..making common investor wonder what is happening... Clearly showing stock markets are in bubble territory and are being manipulated..So remember be v fearful when others are greedy and vice versa.....Be v cautious and keep equity 10% to 15 % of your total portfolio now